Rabu, 09 Oktober 2013

Three Thoughts on Janet Yellen

Finally, President Obama appears poised to nominate Janet Yellen to replace Ben Bernanke as chairwoman of the Federal Reserve. Three immediate thoughts:

1. The process was embarrassing. The number of candidates under consideration was surprisingly low, with Yellen and controversial former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers as the only front-runners. As the months dragged on and backroom gossip leaked, it became clear that Obama’s first choice was Summers, with whom he was reportedly more comfortable. Once Democratic Senators threatened to derail a Summers nomination and Summers withdrew his candidacy, Obama seemed desperate to find anyone other than the eminently qualified candidate he was left with. Obama will have some work to do to demonstrate his confidence and commitment to his new Fed chair.

2. It never hurts to make history. Yellen is the first woman to serve as the most powerful economic policy maker in the world, and her nomination may help assuage critics who say that Obama has fallen short on his commitment to promote women in government—even though he diluted some of that goodwill with his foot-dragging.

3. Yellen, the current vice-chair of the Federal Reserve, represents continuity, which the markets tend to like. She is highly concerned with the human toll of unemployment, and is expected to continue Bernanke’s policies of ultralow interest rates and other aggressive moves to support the economy and promote growth. This isn’t going to please everybody, but Yellen is a scholar and a diplomat, and is known for handling the prickly personalities at the Fed with tact. And in the end, Obama’s dithering on the timing may serve him well, as Republicans will have a hard time attacking his nominee when they’re busy defending their decision to drive the U.S. economy into the abyss.

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