The White House recently approved a plan to arm opposition forces in Syria, renewing a fear that looms whenever we plunk weapons into volatile settings: What if they fall into the wrong hands?
French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius has hinted that safeguards might be on the way. He told a parliamentary panel that certain arms could be “triggered in some conditions, and neutralized in other conditions,” the Associated Press reported.
Fabius wasn’t specific, but American security experts suggest that a Snapchat-esque, self-limiting capability for weapons is not so far-fetched. The technology is made possible by a class of itty-bitty devices called micro-electro-mechanical systems, aka MEMS, a wide array of technologies distinguished by the fact that they’re tiny, sometimes a fraction of a millimeter. By embedding them in some weapons’ existing technology, it would be possible to, for example, prevent those weapons from firing outside of a certain geographical area, or at passenger aircraft, or after a certain date and time.
“There’s just a virtually unlimited potential,” said Chris Harmer, an analyst at the Institute for the Study of War. “You can set an expiration date, you can say a weapon is only going to be usable during certain times of the day—anything you can think up,” he said.
The MEMS universe includes a variety of gnat-sized devices: gyroscopes, accelerometers, magnetometers and more. The underlying technologies for these are old hat. What is new are the precision-engineering methods to etch and plate microchips that are now being used to scale these technologies down like dollhouse furniture.
This means manufacturers can embed complicated mechanics directly into products’ circuitry, while adding almost no weight, volume, energy consumption or conspicuousness. Although your standard-issue rifle probably won’t benefit from this for some time, many of today’s more sophisticated weapons – such as the portable guided missile launchers that are high on Syrian rebels’ wish lists – hit their targets by employing a host of electronics, including integrated circuits, which could be tweaked with MEMS.
Technologies such as GPS or radio-frequency identification could already be used to track or communicate with weapons, perhaps even telling them how to behave on the battlefield, without MEMS, Harmer said. But those signals might be intercepted or the weapons themselves might be manipulated or hacked. The advent of MEMS, on the other hand, opens the door to making munitions whereby – because that tiny machinery is integrally woven into their design – they can only operate in certain ways, under certain conditions. “It’s not just a software code,” he said, “it’s an actual mechanical function in there.”
One example of this, Harmer suggested, would be using MEMS to build anti-aircraft weapons that could be fired in some places and not others – say Syria and not the West Bank, for example – by making their targeting systems dependent on MEMS sensors that only allow the weapon to work in specific locations.
A bolder idea would be weapons that can shoot at the bad guys but not friendly forces or commercial jets. Harmer said this could, theoretically, be achieved if MEMS-enhanced weapons were married to other futuristic capabilities the military has been developing, such as Blue Force Tracking – a system the U.S. has deployed in Afghanistan and elsewhere to identify friend and foe – or the means to identify aircraft by detecting unique heat and radar signatures.
“That’s absolutely the Holy Grail of where you want to go – to be able to program the weapons to shoot only at certain, specific targets,” said Harmer.
This year, DARPA’s Microsystems Technology Office sought designs for a project called Vanishing Programmable Resources (the aptly acronymed VAPR) that would, according to the federal solicitation, develop electronic systems “capable of physically disappearing in a controlled, triggerable manner” – or self-destruct.
Someday this research could lead to weapons with built-in cancellation policies, said William Tang, an associate dean for engineering research at the University of California Irvine. He was a program manager for MEMS research at DARPA more than a decade ago; he is not affiliated with the VAPR project. DARPA’s public affairs office replied to a request for more information about VAPR by saying that weapons systems applications are outside this program’s scope. It declined further comment at this time.
But we may not have to wait very long before MEMS make weapons more fleeting. The total market for MEMS devices in military applications is around $1.1 billion and set to reach $2 billion in the next five years, according to Mike Pinelis, the chief executive officer of MEMS Journal. He said MEMS are being integrated into smart missiles and munitions, unmanned vehicles, insect cyborgs and mini drones, and sensors for bio-surveillance.
“This is not George Jetson stuff,” Harmer said. “It’s working in laboratories now.” We could see U.S. weapons with MEMS regulating how they function “within a three-to-five-year time frame,” he said.
