Selasa, 08 Januari 2013

A Deadly Silicon Valley Habit: Chasing the Latest Fad

At a networking meeting of Silicon Valley influencers I recently attended, the consensus was clear: direct, enterprise sales is an old, out of fashion, dead business model. In it’s place: The modern, hip, ideas of social networking, “freemium,” and designing apps that virally attract users. The same sentiment was evident at a meeting of the advisory board of a human capital start-up—selling directly to HR departments is so yesterday. And as that start-up made the VC rounds, it got the same message from potential backers: Having a direct sales force is too costly and takes too long to scale—move to a bottom up model in which employees see the software and use it (for free, of course), which then may pave the way for enterprise adoption.

The direct sales force has become the Rodney Dangerfield of business models in Silicon Valley—it gets little to no respect. Selling is less glamorous than marketing or strategy or designing some cool new thing. Not many CEOs have sales backgrounds any more—they are more likely to come from finance or, in the Valley, from engineering.

Ah, but competitive advantage comes from doing something that is difficult but important. No sales, no revenues. Selling through direct sales to corporate customers, while out of fashion, is a process that is predictable and replicable, with prospect pipelines that can be measured and a methodology that can be taught and learned.

For every Yammer, a social networking company that attracted corporate users initially by giving the product away (It was bought by Microsoft (MSFT) for $1.2 billion in 2012), there are hundreds of companies that fail by having a business model predicated on capturing potential users, people who are overwhelmed by the number of business apps seeking their attention.

Then there is Workday (WDAY). Founded by Dave Duffield and Anil Bhusri in 2005, the company set out with a very mundane strategy—take the human capital applications sold by SAP and Oracle, move them to a software as a service model, and then sell through a direct sales force to the companies that are, for the most part, unhappy with the level of service and support they are getting and bothered by the difficulty and expense of upgrading to new software. (Oracle (ORCL) bought PeopleSoft, a company founded by Duffield and where Bhusri was vice chairman, in a hostile takeover.)

Workday’s model is the old strategy of taking care of customers and offering them an easier path to technology needed to manage aspects of their business, but one that works. When Workday went public last October, its shares soared leaving it with a valuation of over $9 billion. HR technology columnist Bill Kutik told me that at the time of the IPO, one Workday one employee commented: “Maybe now the Valley will take enterprise applications (and sales) seriously again.”

I doubt it. The Valley is mostly about huge gambles for potentially enormous rewards, not building predictable, understandable businesses. So while Workday has a value greater than all of the companies at that Silicon Valley entrepreneurial networking meeting combined, it is not “buzz-worthy.” Too often VCs and entrepreneurs blindly chase the latest fads rather than asking, “How do I build something that a paying customer will buy?”

As for that human capital software company, it did follow the VC advice and pivot away from selling direct to companies. It laid off its sales people while it chased “freemium,” “viral,” and all the other buzz words flying around the Valley. The company encountered a predictable result. With no sales people, there was no sales growth, which left the VC’s unimpressed. At the end of 2012, the company shut down for lack of money.

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